Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.8% | 57.2% | +1.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +2 (135-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Tucker * | 51 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| James Harden * | 48 | 11-37 | 4-20 | 24-24 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 50 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 48 | 7-30 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 45 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore * | 26 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 39 | 6-8 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Chris Clemons | 10 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gary Clark | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyson Chandler | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Poeltl * | 41 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 40 | 9-25 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 36 | 10-13 | 5-6 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 25 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay * | 22 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 35 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 34 | 10-18 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| DeMarre Carroll | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter