Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.9% | 37.1% | -2.9 | ✓ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -21 (97-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 37 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 28 | 9-18 | 5-12 | 10-13 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 25 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 17 | 2-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 27 | 6-11 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 24 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 20 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 16 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| J.J. Barea | 10 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 36 | 8-18 | 0-3 | 2-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 36 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick * | 30 | 5-15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Lonzo Ball * | 30 | 2-12 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart | 26 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 21 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 12 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| E'Twaun Moore | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter