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2019-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 67.8% 32.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 48.9% 51.1% - ✗
Margin 50.8% 49.2% -0.2 ✓ (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.7% 50.3% - ✗
Efficiency 58.1% 41.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 57.5% 42.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 57.5% 42.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 51.6% 48.4% - ✓

Actual: Washington Wizards -7 (120-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonathan Isaac * 37 5-13 1-6 0-1 6 3 0 2 11 - -
Evan Fournier * 35 11-18 6-8 3-4 2 3 0 0 31 - -
Markelle Fultz * 31 9-17 0-0 2-4 3 6 2 0 20 - -
Aaron Gordon * 31 7-15 2-5 2-4 11 2 0 0 18 - -
Khem Birch * 28 0-1 0-0 0-0 9 5 0 2 0 - -
D.J. Augustin 28 7-9 4-5 6-7 6 1 0 0 24 - -
Terrence Ross 18 4-8 2-4 4-4 1 1 1 0 14 - -
Mo Bamba 16 2-4 0-1 0-0 8 0 0 0 4 - -
Michael Carter-Williams 12 1-5 0-2 3-3 2 5 0 0 5 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 41 16-30 3-6 7-10 6 4 1 0 42 - -
Davis Bertans * 40 7-16 4-12 3-3 5 0 1 2 21 - -
Rui Hachimura * 38 6-12 0-3 3-3 6 4 0 0 15 - -
Isaiah Thomas * 34 8-14 2-5 2-2 5 7 1 1 20 - -
Isaac Bonga * 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 - -
Jordan McRae 26 3-7 2-5 2-3 1 4 2 0 10 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 20 2-4 0-1 1-2 8 1 2 0 5 - -
Ish Smith 13 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 5 - -
Admiral Schofield 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter