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2019-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 54.5% 45.5% -
Bradley-Terry 34.7% 65.3% -
Margin 30.5% 69.5% +4.5 (37.5 off)
Pythagorean 54.2% 45.8% -
Efficiency 65.3% 34.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.8% 42.2% -
Log Adjusted 57.9% 42.1% -
Points Off/Def 51.9% 48.1% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -33 (94-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Drummond * 30 7-15 0-0 3-4 14 4 5 4 17 - -
Blake Griffin * 23 8-13 6-7 2-2 4 1 0 0 24 - -
Luke Kennard * 22 3-9 2-5 0-0 4 4 2 0 8 - -
Tony Snell * 22 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Bruce Brown * 18 4-6 1-2 0-2 2 3 0 1 9 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 25 5-11 3-8 2-2 2 4 1 0 15 - -
Langston Galloway 22 5-8 4-7 0-0 2 1 1 0 14 - -
Derrick Rose 21 6-12 0-2 0-1 2 9 0 0 12 - -
Christian Wood 20 4-4 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 8 - -
Markieff Morris 16 5-8 2-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 12 - -
Tim Frazier 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 1 2 - -
Thon Maker 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 - -
Sekou Doumbouya 3 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin Sexton * 33 8-16 0-2 6-7 4 3 2 0 22 - -
Tristan Thompson * 30 4-11 0-0 2-4 14 0 0 1 10 - -
Darius Garland * 27 3-9 0-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Cedi Osman * 25 4-6 1-3 1-2 0 0 0 1 10 - -
Kevin Love * 21 3-7 2-2 0-0 4 2 1 1 8 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 26 3-7 1-3 0-0 4 5 0 2 7 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 21 5-11 2-4 0-0 7 1 0 0 12 - -
Jordan Clarkson 20 4-10 2-7 0-0 1 2 0 0 10 - -
John Henson 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 1 2 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 9 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Ante Zizic 3 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Brandon Knight 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 - -

* = starter