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2019-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 36.2% 63.8% -
Bradley-Terry 35.7% 64.3% -
Margin 29.6% 70.4% +4.8 (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% -
Efficiency 58.9% 41.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.9% 41.1% -
Log Adjusted 58.9% 41.1% -
Points Off/Def 51.2% 48.8% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -13 (104-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremy Lamb * 32 6-11 1-4 2-2 7 3 2 0 15 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 32 7-13 2-5 3-4 6 9 0 0 19 - -
Myles Turner * 30 5-11 1-5 6-7 6 2 1 1 17 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 29 9-18 0-1 0-0 14 8 0 0 18 - -
T.J. Warren * 24 5-9 4-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 14 - -
Justin Holiday 29 5-7 5-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 15 - -
Aaron Holiday 21 4-11 3-9 0-0 1 2 0 1 11 - -
Doug McDermott 20 1-4 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 4 - -
T.J. McConnell 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 4 - -
Goga Bitadze 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Alize Johnson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 33 10-19 2-8 9-9 4 2 1 2 31 - -
Solomon Hill * 33 9-14 4-6 0-0 6 2 3 0 22 - -
Tyus Jones * 30 1-6 0-1 0-0 3 6 0 1 2 - -
Dillon Brooks * 30 7-16 2-6 3-4 7 2 1 0 19 - -
Jae Crowder * 29 1-9 0-7 1-1 4 1 0 1 3 - -
Grayson Allen 27 2-6 0-1 2-2 2 3 0 0 6 - -
De'Anthony Melton 24 6-10 1-2 3-3 9 4 0 0 16 - -
Marko Guduric 16 1-5 1-5 0-0 3 2 0 1 3 - -
Bruno Caboclo 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 1 2 - -

* = starter