Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.9% | 45.1% | -1.1 | ✗ (26.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +25 (104-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Paschall * | 35 | 9-11 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Glenn Robinson III * | 34 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 31 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ky Bowman | 36 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Omari Spellman | 27 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 19 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 19 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 33 | 10-19 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 31 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jabari Parker * | 28 | 4-15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones * | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish | 23 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Evan Turner | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 17 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Vince Carter | 11 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tyrone Wallace | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brandon Goodwin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter