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2019-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 73.4% 26.6% -
Bradley-Terry 65.9% 34.1% -
Margin 71.7% 28.3% -5.1 (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 55.3% 44.7% -
Efficiency 68.9% 31.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.1% 35.9% -
Log Adjusted 64.2% 35.8% -
Points Off/Def 54.6% 45.4% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -5 (104-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 38 7-15 3-10 6-7 4 4 1 1 23 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 37 8-17 2-9 5-7 3 0 2 1 23 - -
Ricky Rubio * 35 3-10 0-5 3-4 1 13 4 1 9 - -
Frank Kaminsky * 33 5-12 0-4 2-5 6 4 0 2 12 - -
Dario Saric * 32 5-11 1-5 5-5 10 2 0 1 16 - -
Mikal Bridges 30 5-12 1-3 1-2 8 2 2 1 12 - -
Ty Jerome 12 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 4 3 0 4 - -
Cameron Johnson 10 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Jevon Carter 9 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 6 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devonte' Graham * 38 5-19 1-10 4-4 4 13 0 0 15 - -
Terry Rozier * 33 5-9 3-5 0-0 7 3 1 0 13 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 25 3-8 0-0 3-5 11 1 0 2 9 - -
Miles Bridges * 24 3-10 1-2 0-2 8 1 0 0 7 - -
P.J. Washington * 18 5-7 0-2 1-2 1 2 0 0 11 - -
Marvin Williams 31 5-8 2-3 10-10 5 3 1 2 22 - -
Malik Monk 21 2-6 0-2 2-2 3 3 1 1 6 - -
Cody Zeller 18 5-7 0-0 1-1 8 1 0 2 11 - -
Dwayne Bacon 16 3-8 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Nicolas Batum 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 - -

* = starter