Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.6% | 35.4% | -3.3 | ✗ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +4 (100-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glenn Robinson III * | 37 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 36 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - | |
| Eric Paschall * | 35 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 23 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - | |
| Ky Bowman | 28 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - | |
| Omari Spellman | 16 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 15 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -6 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Fournier * | 34 | 13-21 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 16 | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 22 | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| Khem Birch * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18 | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 28 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 24 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 17 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - | |
| Wes Iwundu | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Melvin Frazier Jr. | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter