Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.1% | 40.9% | -2.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -3 (104-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 33 | 5-17 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 33 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 32 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson * | 30 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 28 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 24 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 16 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Deonte Burton | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 40 | 8-18 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 35 | 10-19 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Lonzo Ball * | 32 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick * | 29 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jahlil Okafor * | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart | 33 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| E'Twaun Moore | 17 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 15 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter