Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | +0.5 | ✓ (33.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +34 (132-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Poeltl * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 25 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay * | 22 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray | 22 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 16 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 16 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 16 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| DeMarre Carroll | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Kennard * | 30 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 26 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Andre Drummond * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Blake Griffin * | 21 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 22 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 22 | 11-14 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 21 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Langston Galloway | 20 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Derrick Rose | 18 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Thon Maker | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tim Frazier | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sekou Doumbouya | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter