Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | +4.7 | ✗ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -14 (100-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Powell * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 32 | 10-23 | 4-10 | 3-3 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 27 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 21 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 27 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 22 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 15 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 15 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 36 | 11-20 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 35 | 10-21 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Danny Green * | 27 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 25 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma | 21 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Rajon Rondo | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Troy Daniels | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dwight Howard | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Quinn Cook | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jared Dudley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter