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2019-12-01

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 48.6% 51.4% -
Bradley-Terry 40.6% 59.4% -
Margin 48.4% 51.6% +0.4 (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% -
Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.6% 56.4% -
Log Adjusted 43.7% 56.3% -
Points Off/Def 40.9% 59.1% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -14 (100-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dwight Powell * 32 6-11 0-1 3-5 9 0 1 0 15 - -
Luka Doncic * 32 10-23 4-10 3-3 9 10 3 0 27 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 30 3-10 0-7 2-2 2 1 2 0 8 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 27 5-11 3-8 2-4 6 0 1 0 15 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 21 2-7 2-5 0-0 5 0 0 1 6 - -
Delon Wright 27 7-12 3-6 0-0 5 9 4 0 17 - -
Maxi Kleber 22 1-4 1-2 3-4 9 2 0 0 6 - -
Seth Curry 15 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Justin Jackson 15 6-10 3-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 15 - -
Jalen Brunson 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Boban Marjanovic 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 36 11-20 0-5 3-3 9 8 4 0 25 - -
Anthony Davis * 35 10-21 1-2 6-6 10 2 1 2 27 - -
Danny Green * 27 3-10 2-8 0-0 2 1 1 0 8 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 23 3-7 1-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 7 - -
JaVale McGee * 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 1 4 - -
Alex Caruso 25 4-5 2-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 10 - -
Kyle Kuzma 21 1-8 0-5 2-3 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Rajon Rondo 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 7 0 0 4 - -
Troy Daniels 17 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Dwight Howard 12 2-3 0-0 0-2 3 2 0 0 4 - -
Quinn Cook 3 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Jared Dudley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -

* = starter