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2019-12-01

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 66.3% 33.7% -
Bradley-Terry 53.9% 46.1% -
Margin 64.7% 35.3% -3.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 63.9% 36.1% -
Efficiency 86.4% 13.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.9% 17.1% -
Log Adjusted 82.9% 17.1% -
Points Off/Def 71.4% 28.6% -

Actual: New York Knicks -9 (104-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 37 10-23 5-11 5-6 6 7 2 2 30 - -
Jaylen Brown * 34 11-18 4-10 2-4 5 1 1 1 28 - -
Kemba Walker * 33 6-18 3-9 1-2 5 10 1 0 16 - -
Marcus Smart * 19 0-6 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Daniel Theis * 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 2 - -
Grant Williams 22 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Semi Ojeleye 19 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 - -
Brad Wanamaker 18 3-5 1-2 4-4 2 3 1 0 11 - -
Enes Kanter 15 4-7 0-0 3-5 11 0 0 1 11 - -
Javonte Green 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Robert Williams III 6 1-3 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 2 3 - -
Carsen Edwards 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 35 4-13 0-2 8-13 7 0 1 1 16 - -
Julius Randle * 33 8-16 0-5 10-13 5 2 0 0 26 - -
Kevin Knox II * 21 4-9 2-6 1-1 5 0 0 2 11 - -
Taj Gibson * 19 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 4 0 4 - -
Frank Ntilikina * 6 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 38 6-11 2-3 3-6 1 7 0 2 17 - -
Damyean Dotson 31 4-6 2-4 0-0 4 3 1 1 10 - -
Bobby Portis 20 3-8 1-4 2-2 6 1 1 0 9 - -
Mitchell Robinson 19 2-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 6 - -
Wayne Ellington 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter