Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.3% | 48.7% | -0.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets -3 (106-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 35 | 5-17 | 1-5 | 9-10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 33 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 24 | 5-15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 18 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 30 | 9-18 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Justise Winslow | 29 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Temple * | 34 | 3-12 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 34 | 10-21 | 4-9 | 5-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince * | 31 | 3-14 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Joe Harris * | 31 | 9-16 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 23 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| David Nwaba | 18 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Iman Shumpert | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dzanan Musa | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter