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2019-12-01

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 39.9% 60.1% -
Bradley-Terry 45.9% 54.1% -
Margin 41.0% 59.0% +2.0 (45.0 off)
Pythagorean 30.6% 69.4% -
Efficiency 9.0% 91.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.4% 85.6% -
Log Adjusted 14.4% 85.6% -
Points Off/Def 20.2% 79.8% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +47 (158-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 31 10-16 5-9 12-13 3 7 0 0 37 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 29 5-15 3-9 1-1 5 1 1 0 14 - -
Allen Crabbe * 23 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 6 - -
Jabari Parker * 20 5-8 1-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 11 - -
Damian Jones * 14 3-4 0-0 2-3 1 1 0 0 8 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 23 1-9 0-3 3-4 5 4 0 0 5 - -
Vince Carter 18 1-5 1-5 1-2 2 2 0 0 4 - -
Chandler Parsons 16 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 - -
Tyrone Wallace 16 2-7 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 1 5 - -
Bruno Fernando 15 2-4 1-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Alex Len 15 6-7 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 12 - -
Evan Turner 15 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 4 1 1 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben McLemore * 33 9-14 6-11 0-0 13 1 1 0 24 - -
James Harden * 30 16-24 8-14 20-23 3 8 3 1 60 - -
P.J. Tucker * 29 2-3 2-3 4-4 7 3 0 0 10 - -
Russell Westbrook * 26 6-11 1-1 2-2 8 8 0 0 15 - -
Tyson Chandler * 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Austin Rivers 31 5-12 2-6 2-3 6 4 1 0 14 - -
Gary Clark 24 1-5 1-5 0-0 6 3 0 0 3 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 20 3-5 0-1 1-2 5 2 1 1 7 - -
Thabo Sefolosha 17 3-4 1-2 0-0 3 1 2 0 7 - -
Chris Clemons 15 6-10 4-8 0-0 0 0 0 0 16 - -

* = starter