Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.2% | 33.8% | -3.7 | ✗ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +3 (100-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 40 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 37 | 8-16 | 4-9 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 32 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 20 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 45 | 10-19 | 1-4 | 9-10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph * | 40 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 40 | 7-20 | 3-13 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 36 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica * | 25 | 3-11 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 28 | 4-16 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Justin James | 25 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Yogi Ferrell | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter