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2019-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 26.2% 73.8% -
Bradley-Terry 24.0% 76.0% -
Margin 18.4% 81.6% +8.2 (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 35.8% 64.2% -
Efficiency 9.9% 90.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.4% 84.6% -
Log Adjusted 15.4% 84.6% -
Points Off/Def 21.4% 78.6% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +22 (125-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 30 5-13 2-7 6-6 3 9 2 0 18 - -
Rui Hachimura * 26 7-15 0-3 2-2 8 1 1 0 16 - -
Thomas Bryant * 22 2-6 0-0 1-2 5 3 0 0 5 - -
Isaiah Thomas * 21 4-6 2-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 10 - -
Troy Brown Jr. * 19 4-10 0-2 1-2 7 1 3 1 9 - -
Davis Bertans 26 2-6 2-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 6 - -
Ish Smith 26 6-14 1-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 13 - -
Jordan McRae 22 5-10 1-5 2-2 5 4 1 0 13 - -
Moritz Wagner 21 1-9 0-4 5-5 8 1 1 1 7 - -
Isaac Bonga 17 2-5 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Chris Chiozza 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 28 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 4 - -
Anthony Davis * 27 8-15 1-2 9-12 13 2 0 3 26 - -
LeBron James * 24 9-16 4-8 1-2 3 11 2 1 23 - -
JaVale McGee * 21 5-7 0-0 5-6 11 2 1 2 15 - -
Danny Green * 20 4-6 3-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 11 - -
Quinn Cook 22 7-11 3-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 17 - -
Dwight Howard 19 3-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 2 8 - -
Alex Caruso 19 0-3 0-2 2-4 3 3 1 0 2 - -
Kyle Kuzma 17 2-7 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Jared Dudley 13 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 2 2 0 2 - -
Troy Daniels 13 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Rajon Rondo 11 5-7 3-4 0-0 1 4 0 0 13 - -

* = starter