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2019-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 29.8% 70.2% -
Bradley-Terry 44.8% 55.2% -
Margin 49.6% 50.4% +0.1 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% -
Efficiency 40.3% 59.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.7% 60.3% -
Log Adjusted 39.7% 60.3% -
Points Off/Def 38.6% 61.4% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +4 (107-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 38 8-24 5-11 7-10 6 5 1 0 28 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 34 7-16 0-1 2-4 9 1 2 0 16 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 32 4-14 2-7 3-4 8 3 0 0 13 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 29 4-8 2-4 2-2 3 8 1 0 12 - -
Kris Dunn * 29 4-7 1-2 0-0 7 2 2 0 9 - -
Thaddeus Young 21 2-6 1-3 0-2 9 1 2 0 5 - -
Coby White 20 5-13 2-7 1-1 4 1 0 0 13 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 15 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 - -
Denzel Valentine 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 - -
Daniel Gafford 7 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 1 4 - -
Max Strus 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 37 7-14 3-6 3-3 7 2 0 1 20 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 37 8-16 1-3 6-7 11 4 1 0 23 - -
Damian Lillard * 36 9-18 3-11 7-9 2 6 0 0 28 - -
Rodney Hood * 35 7-12 3-5 2-2 1 3 1 0 19 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 29 4-11 0-0 0-3 15 1 1 10 8 - -
Anfernee Simons 17 0-4 0-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 - -
Skal Labissiere 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 - -
Kent Bazemore 16 1-4 0-1 2-2 2 0 2 0 4 - -
Nassir Little 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter