Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.9% | 60.1% | +2.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -7 (113-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 12-24 | 3-11 | 15-18 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 42 | 39 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 36 | 8-14 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 17 | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 33 | 0-8 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 26 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 24 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - | |
| Seth Curry | 21 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Delon Wright | 14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 9 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 40 | 8-17 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 37 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - | |
| Ricky Rubio * | 33 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 5-7 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 19 | - | |
| Dario Saric * | 33 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 5-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - | |
| Aron Baynes * | 24 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - | |
| Mikal Bridges | 16 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - | |
| Tyler Johnson | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 15 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - | |
| Cameron Johnson | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Elie Okobo | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Cheick Diallo | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter