Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.5% | 59.5% | +2.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +1 (105-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 42 | 16-28 | 8-15 | 9-9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 49 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 40 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jabari Parker * | 31 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish * | 11 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry | 40 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Evan Turner | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vince Carter | 10 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Allen Crabbe | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 41 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb * | 40 | 9-15 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 38 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 5-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 38 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| T.J. Warren * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 14 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 14 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter