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2019-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 45.8% 54.2% -
Bradley-Terry 53.1% 46.9% -
Margin 60.6% 39.4% -2.4 (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 54.7% 45.3% -
Efficiency 75.3% 24.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.1% 32.9% -
Log Adjusted 67.1% 32.9% -
Points Off/Def 57.3% 42.7% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -7 (83-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 41 7-20 5-12 3-5 5 4 7 0 22 - -
Pascal Siakam * 39 4-22 1-7 1-3 13 5 1 1 10 - -
Norman Powell * 38 12-18 5-8 4-4 0 1 2 1 33 - -
OG Anunoby * 35 1-5 0-3 0-2 7 4 3 0 2 - -
Marc Gasol * 32 1-6 0-4 4-4 7 1 0 0 6 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 21 2-3 0-0 2-2 6 3 1 0 6 - -
Terence Davis 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 4 - -
Chris Boucher 11 2-4 0-1 3-6 3 1 1 2 7 - -
Malcolm Miller 4 0-2 0-2 0-2 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Fournier * 33 3-9 1-6 12-14 4 6 2 0 19 - -
Aaron Gordon * 31 2-11 1-4 3-4 8 2 2 1 8 - -
Markelle Fultz * 29 5-12 1-3 4-5 4 3 1 1 15 - -
Jonathan Isaac * 29 4-13 0-3 0-0 10 0 0 2 8 - -
Khem Birch * 27 2-4 0-0 0-0 12 0 1 3 4 - -
Terrence Ross 26 3-9 1-5 0-1 2 1 0 2 7 - -
D.J. Augustin 26 2-7 1-4 1-1 3 4 2 0 6 - -
Al-Farouq Aminu 18 2-7 1-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 5 - -
Mo Bamba 16 4-6 1-1 2-2 7 0 0 2 11 - -

* = starter