🐻⬇️🏀

@
2019-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 12.7% 87.3% -
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% -
Margin 35.1% 64.9% +3.4 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -
Efficiency 33.5% 66.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.6% 59.4% -
Log Adjusted 40.5% 59.5% -
Points Off/Def 39.0% 61.0% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -3 (107-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devonte' Graham * 37 6-14 4-7 0-0 1 8 0 2 16 - -
Terry Rozier * 34 8-15 6-9 1-1 4 2 2 0 23 - -
P.J. Washington * 34 9-12 3-3 5-7 5 3 4 0 26 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 33 6-12 0-0 1-3 9 2 0 2 13 - -
Miles Bridges * 27 6-13 2-6 2-2 7 3 0 2 16 - -
Nicolas Batum 26 0-3 0-3 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 - -
Marvin Williams 22 3-8 3-7 0-0 3 4 1 0 9 - -
Malik Monk 22 2-6 1-3 2-2 3 2 0 0 7 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Drummond * 37 7-12 0-0 1-4 19 3 1 2 15 - -
Luke Kennard * 33 8-17 5-10 0-0 1 4 0 1 21 - -
Blake Griffin * 31 6-13 1-7 4-7 4 3 0 1 17 - -
Langston Galloway * 27 1-4 1-4 1-1 4 1 2 0 4 - -
Bruce Brown * 26 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 5 1 0 4 - -
Derrick Rose 21 8-12 3-4 4-6 2 4 0 0 23 - -
Tony Snell 20 3-4 3-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 9 - -
Markieff Morris 16 4-6 1-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 9 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 14 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 - -
Christian Wood 10 1-4 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter