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2019-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 30.6% 69.4% -
Bradley-Terry 36.3% 63.7% -
Margin 30.0% 70.0% +4.7 (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 56.2% 43.8% -
Efficiency 68.8% 31.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.7% 39.3% -
Log Adjusted 60.7% 39.3% -
Points Off/Def 52.6% 47.4% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +14 (104-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 36 13-24 4-9 6-6 5 5 2 2 36 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 35 7-12 3-5 2-3 7 7 2 0 19 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 30 4-10 0-0 0-2 9 0 2 0 8 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 25 3-10 1-4 1-1 4 3 1 0 8 - -
Chandler Hutchison * 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Coby White 26 0-7 0-4 2-2 1 0 2 0 2 - -
Thaddeus Young 21 2-7 1-1 1-2 6 1 2 0 6 - -
Kris Dunn 18 0-5 0-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Luke Kornet 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 2 0 - -
Daniel Gafford 8 1-1 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Shaquille Harrison 7 3-7 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Denzel Valentine 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eric Paschall * 35 9-17 2-2 5-6 7 3 0 0 25 - -
Alec Burks * 35 9-19 3-8 2-3 10 7 0 0 23 - -
Glenn Robinson III * 34 4-11 2-6 1-2 1 3 2 1 11 - -
Draymond Green * 23 2-3 1-1 2-4 5 8 3 2 7 - -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 16 0-5 0-0 3-4 9 3 1 1 3 - -
Ky Bowman 27 1-4 1-4 2-2 3 3 0 0 5 - -
Omari Spellman 24 5-11 1-3 2-2 11 1 2 3 13 - -
Jordan Poole 22 2-6 0-4 2-3 3 2 0 0 6 - -
Marquese Chriss 20 5-5 1-1 0-0 5 1 4 2 11 - -

* = starter