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2019-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 52.0% 48.0% -
Bradley-Terry 50.2% 49.8% -
Margin 61.4% 38.6% -2.5 (19.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% -
Efficiency 65.8% 34.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.5% 41.5% -
Log Adjusted 58.4% 41.6% -
Points Off/Def 51.5% 48.5% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +17 (136-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 29 4-10 0-2 3-5 2 5 0 0 11 - -
Danilo Gallinari * 27 5-13 3-7 1-2 4 2 0 0 14 - -
Terrance Ferguson * 25 2-7 2-6 3-4 1 0 2 0 9 - -
Chris Paul * 25 6-12 0-4 4-4 2 5 0 0 16 - -
Steven Adams * 24 4-7 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 8 - -
Dennis Schroder 24 3-9 1-4 3-5 3 0 1 1 10 - -
Darius Bazley 21 1-3 1-2 1-2 4 0 1 0 4 - -
Abdel Nader 17 7-9 3-4 6-6 2 1 0 0 23 - -
Nerlens Noel 15 3-5 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 8 - -
Deonte Burton 14 2-7 0-3 2-2 6 1 0 0 6 - -
Devon Hall 7 0-3 0-2 3-4 1 2 0 0 3 - -
Mike Muscala 4 1-2 1-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Justin Patton 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 29 7-15 5-9 8-8 5 5 1 0 27 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 28 9-11 0-1 1-1 4 2 0 0 19 - -
CJ McCollum * 28 8-16 4-7 2-2 2 4 0 0 22 - -
Rodney Hood * 25 5-6 4-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 14 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 22 8-13 0-0 5-5 16 1 0 0 21 - -
Anfernee Simons 26 6-14 1-4 1-1 0 1 0 0 14 - -
Kent Bazemore 20 0-5 0-1 3-3 10 4 2 1 3 - -
Skal Labissiere 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 4 - -
Nassir Little 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Anthony Tolliver 9 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Mario Hezonja 7 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 4 - -
Moses Brown 6 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Jaylen Hoard 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter