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2019-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 52.7% 47.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 57.6% 42.4% - ✓
Margin 56.4% 43.6% -1.4 ✓ (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 54.8% 45.2% - ✓
Efficiency 76.7% 23.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 67.7% 32.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 67.7% 32.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 57.7% 42.3% - ✓

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -4 (110-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 37 15-30 1-4 10-12 9 1 3 1 41 - -
LeBron James * 37 10-18 2-6 7-11 5 11 2 1 29 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 28 2-8 1-5 0-0 1 2 0 1 5 - -
Danny Green * 20 2-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 1 4 - -
JaVale McGee * 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 4 - -
Alex Caruso 25 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 1 2 - -
Kyle Kuzma 24 6-8 4-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 16 - -
Dwight Howard 23 4-5 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 1 9 - -
Rajon Rondo 18 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 7 1 0 0 - -
Troy Daniels 11 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 40 12-23 4-6 1-1 6 12 3 0 29 - -
Brandon Ingram * 40 4-21 2-11 13-13 10 1 0 2 23 - -
JJ Redick * 35 5-12 5-8 3-4 4 2 1 0 18 - -
Kenrich Williams * 33 4-7 3-6 0-2 7 1 1 0 11 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 21 2-4 0-0 3-4 4 1 1 1 7 - -
Josh Hart 25 2-6 2-6 3-4 5 1 0 0 9 - -
Jahlil Okafor 15 2-4 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 6 - -
E'Twaun Moore 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 - -
Nicolo Melli 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 - -
Frank Jackson 7 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter