🐻⬇️🏀

@
2019-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 48.0% 52.0% -
Bradley-Terry 29.8% 70.2% -
Margin 22.6% 77.4% +6.8 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 25.1% 74.9% -
Efficiency 1.2% 98.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.4% 95.6% -
Log Adjusted 4.4% 95.6% -
Points Off/Def 11.9% 88.1% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +9 (111-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jabari Parker * 36 13-23 3-5 4-7 14 5 2 1 33 - -
Trae Young * 35 12-24 3-7 2-2 4 7 1 0 29 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 35 2-11 2-6 4-4 5 1 0 0 10 - -
Cam Reddish * 22 2-5 1-4 1-2 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Damian Jones * 21 4-6 0-0 2-4 6 1 0 1 10 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 21 1-4 1-2 1-2 4 1 1 0 4 - -
Allen Crabbe 20 0-6 0-4 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 - -
Vince Carter 16 1-4 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 - -
Bruno Fernando 15 1-4 0-2 1-1 2 2 0 0 3 - -
Evan Turner 14 2-7 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 3 4 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eric Bledsoe * 36 4-9 0-1 1-1 5 10 2 2 9 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 35 12-23 1-5 5-13 10 4 0 4 30 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 27 5-10 0-3 2-2 6 2 0 0 12 - -
Wesley Matthews * 26 4-9 2-6 0-0 1 2 0 1 10 - -
Brook Lopez * 24 3-8 3-7 2-2 3 2 0 1 11 - -
Pat Connaughton 19 1-2 0-1 1-1 4 0 0 1 3 - -
Ersan Ilyasova 19 5-7 2-3 1-2 8 1 1 1 13 - -
Khris Middleton 19 5-13 1-4 5-6 3 3 2 0 16 - -
Robin Lopez 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 - -
Sterling Brown 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 - -
Kyle Korver 6 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter