Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.7% | 47.3% | -0.6 | ✗ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +9 (117-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 39 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic * | 33 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 28 | 3-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 21 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 35 | 8-18 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Justise Winslow | 34 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 24 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Tucker * | 36 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 36 | 11-21 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| James Harden * | 35 | 9-23 | 7-17 | 9-10 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 34 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. * | 33 | 7-11 | 4-8 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Tyson Chandler * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Gary Clark | 29 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 19 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Chris Clemons | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter