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2019-11-28

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 35.0% 65.0% -
Bradley-Terry 43.4% 56.6% -
Margin 41.1% 58.9% +2.0 (26.0 off)
Pythagorean 31.1% 68.9% -
Efficiency 7.3% 92.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.3% 86.7% -
Log Adjusted 13.3% 86.7% -
Points Off/Def 19.9% 80.1% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +28 (126-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 30 5-17 2-8 4-6 5 4 3 0 16 - -
Julius Randle * 23 7-14 2-6 3-3 8 1 0 0 19 - -
Frank Ntilikina * 21 2-6 1-3 0-0 0 4 0 0 5 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 20 3-7 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 7 - -
Taj Gibson * 14 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 - -
Mitchell Robinson 30 2-3 0-0 4-5 8 0 1 1 8 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 21 1-7 0-4 0-0 6 4 2 0 2 - -
Bobby Portis 19 4-8 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 1 9 - -
Wayne Ellington 16 1-5 1-5 3-3 3 1 0 1 6 - -
Kevin Knox II 11 1-3 1-3 1-2 0 0 0 0 4 - -
Damyean Dotson 11 2-6 2-6 2-2 1 2 0 1 8 - -
Ignas Brazdeikis 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Allonzo Trier 7 3-4 1-2 3-3 2 1 0 0 10 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
OG Anunoby * 32 5-11 3-5 0-0 12 1 2 0 13 - -
Pascal Siakam * 30 12-22 5-8 2-3 8 2 1 0 31 - -
Fred VanVleet * 30 5-9 2-5 3-4 3 4 0 0 15 - -
Marc Gasol * 22 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 3 2 3 3 - -
Norman Powell * 21 2-8 1-2 2-2 4 2 0 1 7 - -
Terence Davis 28 6-13 3-8 0-0 4 5 0 0 15 - -
Chris Boucher 25 4-10 2-4 3-4 12 4 0 0 13 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 22 5-10 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 12 - -
Malcolm Miller 13 4-5 4-5 1-2 0 1 0 0 13 - -
Shamorie Ponds 5 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 - -
Oshae Brissett 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -

* = starter