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2019-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 77.5% 22.5% -
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% -
Margin 48.8% 51.2% +0.3 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% -
Efficiency 60.5% 39.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.4% 46.6% -
Log Adjusted 53.5% 46.5% -
Points Off/Def 47.6% 52.4% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +1 (102-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Drummond * 37 6-11 0-0 2-5 21 7 1 0 14 - -
Luke Kennard * 34 6-12 2-5 2-3 3 1 0 0 16 - -
Blake Griffin * 30 9-21 4-11 4-5 6 2 0 0 26 - -
Langston Galloway * 28 4-9 1-5 1-1 0 2 0 0 10 - -
Bruce Brown * 22 4-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 1 8 - -
Derrick Rose 25 6-15 1-4 0-0 1 8 0 0 13 - -
Tony Snell 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Markieff Morris 17 3-6 1-2 0-0 5 2 0 1 7 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Christian Wood 10 2-4 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 4 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devonte' Graham * 37 6-15 3-6 1-1 7 15 0 0 16 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 34 8-11 0-0 3-5 9 1 0 2 19 - -
Terry Rozier * 34 3-11 3-6 3-3 2 3 1 1 12 - -
Miles Bridges * 30 7-14 1-6 0-0 6 3 1 0 15 - -
P.J. Washington * 20 7-11 0-2 3-4 5 0 0 2 17 - -
Nicolas Batum 30 4-7 0-2 5-5 6 1 0 2 13 - -
Marvin Williams 24 3-6 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 6 - -
Malik Monk 16 1-7 0-4 2-2 1 3 0 0 4 - -
Willy Hernangomez 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Cody Martin 5 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter