Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.0% | 87.0% | +10.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +13 (117-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 29 | 6-15 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. * | 22 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - | |
| Rui Hachimura * | 22 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| Thomas Bryant * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - | |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 21 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 25 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - | |
| Jordan McRae | 23 | 9-16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 22 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 5-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - | |
| CJ Miles | 21 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Ish Smith | 20 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Isaac Bonga | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Chris Chiozza | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 37 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 28 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 25 | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 24 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 19 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 28 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - | |
| Monte Morris | 23 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 23 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 18 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
* = starter