Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.9% | 59.1% | +2.0 | ✗ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -3 (97-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul * | 34 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 33 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 31 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 34 | 9-17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Deonte Burton | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ky Bowman * | 38 | 9-17 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Glenn Robinson III * | 36 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 32 | 3-17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Eric Paschall * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 24 | 3-13 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Omari Spellman | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter