Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.6% | 48.4% | -0.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -10 (104-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 35 | 13-24 | 4-7 | 3-8 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 32 | 7-19 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Danny Green * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 28 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Rajon Rondo | 24 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma | 23 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dwight Howard | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Troy Daniels | 15 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 36 | 12-22 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 35 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 29 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 25 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray | 21 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 20 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| DeMarre Carroll | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter