Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.8% | 79.2% | +7.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +17 (117-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte' Graham * | 34 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 8-10 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 32 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Miles Bridges * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller * | 16 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 20 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Nicolas Batum | 18 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Marvin Williams | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dwayne Bacon | 15 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Cody Martin | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Willy Hernangomez | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 34 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 9-9 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 31 | 7-10 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 22 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 31 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 29 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 28 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter