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2019-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 57.3% 42.7% -
Bradley-Terry 44.4% 55.6% -
Margin 50.6% 49.4% -0.1 (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 54.1% 45.9% -
Efficiency 64.4% 35.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.1% 39.9% -
Log Adjusted 60.2% 39.8% -
Points Off/Def 52.6% 47.4% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -12 (113-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 36 9-19 3-6 4-6 6 1 2 0 25 15 -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 31 8-19 3-8 9-10 13 8 0 2 28 32 -
Robert Covington * 24 1-8 1-5 2-2 5 4 2 0 5 8 -
Jarrett Culver * 23 4-11 0-1 6-9 5 3 2 0 14 13 -
Treveon Graham * 22 3-5 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 7 8 -
Jeff Teague 30 2-8 0-3 4-4 2 8 2 0 8 12 -
Keita Bates-Diop 23 5-8 2-4 1-3 5 0 1 2 13 13 -
Josh Okogie 18 2-2 1-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 7 8 -
Gorgui Dieng 16 5-6 3-3 0-0 2 0 1 1 13 11 -
Kelan Martin 7 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 4 -
Jordan Bell 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Andre Hunter * 37 3-10 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 1 7 3 -
Trae Young * 34 11-28 5-11 10-11 6 9 0 0 37 24 -
Jabari Parker * 33 9-16 1-4 3-4 7 2 2 0 22 17 -
Cam Reddish * 28 2-10 0-5 3-3 3 3 0 0 7 3 -
Damian Jones * 18 3-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 2 7 9 -
Allen Crabbe 22 3-7 1-4 0-0 7 1 1 0 7 9 -
Bruno Fernando 17 5-6 1-1 2-2 4 1 1 1 13 14 -
Vince Carter 15 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 1 -
DeAndre' Bembry 15 3-4 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 0 7 8 -
Evan Turner 10 1-5 0-0 1-2 4 5 0 0 3 7 -
Alex Len 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter