Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.2% | 59.8% | +2.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +12 (116-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dario Saric * | 33 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 33 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 29 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tyler Johnson * | 16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cheick Diallo | 35 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Elie Okobo | 28 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson | 21 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Mikal Bridges | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 35 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 34 | 9-21 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 32 | 8-18 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 26 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 9-9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 15 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 13 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter