Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.2% | 42.8% | -1.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -14 (123-137). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 38 | 10-18 | 5-11 | 6-7 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 24 | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 34 | 15-30 | 5-14 | 6-8 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 41 | 30 | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 33 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 25 | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 32 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 25 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - | |
| Delon Wright | 22 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - | |
| Seth Curry | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 41 | 11-24 | 2-15 | 8-10 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 29 | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 37 | 8-20 | 2-5 | 9-10 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 18 | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 35 | 7-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 35 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 32 | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. * | 34 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 22 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 21 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Tyson Chandler | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Chris Clemons | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| Gary Clark | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter