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2019-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 47.0% 53.0% -
Bradley-Terry 44.5% 55.5% -
Margin 37.1% 62.9% +2.9 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 55.4% 44.6% -
Efficiency 77.3% 22.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.9% 27.1% -
Log Adjusted 72.8% 27.2% -
Points Off/Def 62.4% 37.6% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -1 (108-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 38 14-27 2-9 0-0 6 4 2 0 30 - -
Anthony Davis * 34 7-14 3-6 5-6 4 3 3 5 22 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 29 3-6 3-5 3-4 2 1 1 0 12 - -
Danny Green * 26 2-7 2-7 2-2 5 2 3 0 8 - -
JaVale McGee * 13 1-1 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Kyle Kuzma 25 1-3 1-1 2-3 3 1 1 1 5 - -
Rajon Rondo 25 6-15 1-5 1-2 5 6 2 0 14 - -
Dwight Howard 20 3-4 0-0 4-8 9 1 0 1 10 - -
Troy Daniels 17 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Jared Dudley 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 33 8-16 4-7 0-0 7 0 2 1 20 - -
Jae Crowder * 33 8-13 4-9 1-3 6 3 1 1 21 - -
Ja Morant * 32 10-16 1-2 5-6 3 6 5 0 26 - -
Dillon Brooks * 26 4-10 3-5 1-2 3 3 0 0 12 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 25 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 4 - -
Kyle Anderson 24 5-11 0-1 1-2 6 4 1 1 11 - -
Brandon Clarke 21 4-7 0-0 0-0 11 2 1 0 8 - -
Tyus Jones 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 6 1 0 0 - -
Marko Guduric 13 2-8 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Solomon Hill 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter