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2019-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 43.0% 57.0% -
Bradley-Terry 37.5% 62.5% -
Margin 29.4% 70.6% +4.8 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 57.6% 42.4% -
Efficiency 72.4% 27.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.3% 31.7% -
Log Adjusted 68.3% 31.7% -
Points Off/Def 58.8% 41.2% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +6 (110-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 38 8-19 2-7 2-2 6 5 1 3 20 - -
Damian Lillard * 36 7-20 4-9 5-6 8 8 0 1 23 - -
Rodney Hood * 35 5-8 1-2 0-1 5 2 1 0 11 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 34 5-15 0-8 1-2 2 1 2 0 11 - -
Anthony Tolliver * 29 3-4 3-4 0-0 7 1 0 1 9 - -
Skal Labissiere 18 4-5 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 8 - -
Anfernee Simons 14 4-6 2-3 1-2 2 2 1 0 11 - -
Nassir Little 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 6 0 1 1 0 - -
Kent Bazemore 12 1-4 0-2 3-3 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 7 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 6 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tristan Thompson * 35 9-18 0-0 7-7 10 2 2 0 25 - -
Cedi Osman * 32 2-11 1-7 0-0 12 5 1 0 5 - -
Larry Nance Jr. * 32 5-10 1-5 0-2 12 4 0 0 11 - -
Collin Sexton * 31 7-14 0-1 5-6 4 0 3 0 19 - -
Darius Garland * 26 3-12 1-6 2-2 2 1 1 0 9 - -
Jordan Clarkson 31 6-9 6-6 10-12 3 3 1 1 28 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 22 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 15 3-6 0-2 1-2 4 0 1 1 7 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 11 1-4 1-4 1-1 1 3 0 0 4 - -

* = starter