Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.1% | 57.9% | +1.7 | ✓ (25.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +27 (113-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson * | 32 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 30 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 19 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 36 | 7-17 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 31 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 30 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 9-11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 20 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Harris * | 26 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Ben Simmons * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Joel Embiid * | 25 | 8-15 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 25 | 11-15 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 24 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle | 23 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| James Ennis III | 22 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 21 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Mike Scott | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kyle O'Quinn | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Raul Neto | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter