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2019-11-24

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 68.2% 31.8% -
Bradley-Terry 41.4% 58.6% -
Margin 33.7% 66.3% +3.7 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 53.9% 46.1% -
Efficiency 66.1% 33.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.4% 36.6% -
Log Adjusted 63.4% 36.6% -
Points Off/Def 54.8% 45.2% -

Actual: New York Knicks -7 (104-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMarcus Aldridge * 33 8-15 2-2 5-7 6 3 3 0 23 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 31 8-14 0-0 5-5 9 4 0 1 21 - -
Derrick White * 25 2-6 0-2 4-6 4 5 1 0 8 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 23 5-5 0-0 1-1 10 1 0 1 11 - -
Bryn Forbes * 20 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 - -
Patty Mills 28 6-8 5-5 0-0 1 2 1 1 17 - -
Rudy Gay 23 3-9 0-2 1-2 4 2 1 0 7 - -
Marco Belinelli 17 2-5 2-4 2-3 1 2 1 0 8 - -
Trey Lyles 15 4-5 3-4 1-2 2 0 0 0 12 - -
DeMarre Carroll 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 7 2 0 0 2 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 7 1-2 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 0 2 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Frank Ntilikina * 35 3-9 1-4 2-2 3 9 6 0 9 - -
Julius Randle * 31 6-17 1-5 1-2 8 3 0 0 14 - -
RJ Barrett * 28 6-11 0-2 1-4 5 4 1 1 13 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 28 7-14 4-6 2-2 7 0 1 0 20 - -
Taj Gibson * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 - -
Mitchell Robinson 23 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 4 2 2 6 - -
Wayne Ellington 21 4-11 4-10 1-2 1 1 0 0 13 - -
Bobby Portis 20 6-11 4-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 16 - -
Damyean Dotson 16 2-6 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 4 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 15 3-7 1-2 0-1 1 4 0 0 7 - -
Kevin Knox II 8 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter