Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.7% | 49.3% | -0.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -3 (116-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 43 | 7-21 | 2-9 | 9-9 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 40 | 11-18 | 4-6 | 8-9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 34 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell * | 34 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Marc Gasol * | 30 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 25 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Rondae Hollis-Jefferson | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 16 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 15 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 41 | 11-23 | 4-11 | 4-4 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 34 | 10-17 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry * | 31 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jabari Parker * | 29 | 6-16 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Allen Crabbe | 23 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Vince Carter | 19 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Evan Turner | 12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter