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2019-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 27.4% 72.6% -
Bradley-Terry 29.7% 70.3% -
Margin 26.6% 73.4% +5.6 (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% -
Efficiency 35.7% 64.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.7% 60.3% -
Log Adjusted 39.7% 60.3% -
Points Off/Def 39.1% 60.9% -

Actual: LA Clippers +3 (122-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 42 9-16 5-11 14-18 8 12 2 0 37 43 -
Clint Capela * 40 7-12 0-0 3-5 19 0 0 2 17 26 -
P.J. Tucker * 37 3-7 1-4 1-2 4 2 3 0 8 10 -
Russell Westbrook * 33 9-22 1-7 3-7 5 6 2 0 22 13 -
Ben McLemore * 31 4-9 4-9 2-2 2 1 2 0 14 10 -
Austin Rivers 31 3-9 2-7 2-2 1 1 1 0 10 4 -
Thabo Sefolosha 10 3-6 2-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 8 4 -
Tyson Chandler 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 4 -
Chris Clemons 4 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul George * 32 4-15 3-10 8-9 8 7 2 0 19 21 -
Kawhi Leonard * 28 9-16 2-5 4-7 6 3 3 0 24 20 -
Maurice Harkless * 22 3-4 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 7 8 -
Patrick Beverley * 19 2-6 1-2 1-2 3 0 1 0 6 4 -
Ivica Zubac * 13 4-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 8 11 -
Montrezl Harrell 34 8-13 0-0 2-2 7 2 1 2 18 17 -
Lou Williams 33 9-16 4-6 4-4 3 8 0 0 26 21 -
JaMychal Green 26 2-6 0-4 0-0 9 1 1 1 4 10 -
Rodney McGruder 18 3-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 7 2 -
Jerome Robinson 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 3 1 1 3 8 -

* = starter