Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.5% | 46.5% | -0.8 | ✗ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +4 (96-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 36 | 6-15 | 4-7 | 6-8 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 32 | 6-16 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kemba Walker * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 26 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Semi Ojeleye | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Enes Kanter | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Carsen Edwards | 6 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 7-17 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 33 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 31 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 16 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 10 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter