Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.2% | 67.8% | +4.1 | ✓ (37.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +42 (143-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland * | 33 | 9-16 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 12 | - | |
| Collin Sexton * | 31 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - | |
| Cedi Osman * | 26 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - | |
| Tristan Thompson * | 26 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 21 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 20 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - | |
| Alfonzo McKinnie | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Ante Zizic | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - | |
| Brandon Knight | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | |
| Dean Wade | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 28 | 11-18 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 33 | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 27 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 15 | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 22 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 18 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 23 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - | |
| Delon Wright | 19 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 17 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - | |
| J.J. Barea | 12 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Courtney Lee | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Ryan Broekhoff | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter