Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -3 (127-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 35 | 9-20 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 35 | 9-19 | 4-7 | 11-11 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 31 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Danny Green * | 28 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma | 26 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Rajon Rondo | 18 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 17 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dwight Howard | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Quinn Cook | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 10-18 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 32 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson * | 32 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 31 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 26 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 29 | 5-12 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 21 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 15 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter