Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.2% | 46.8% | -0.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls -8 (108-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 34 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 12-13 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 31 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 25 | 8-14 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 18 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 28 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 27 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 23 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LaVine * | 29 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 23 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Shaquille Harrison * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tomas Satoransky * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 24 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ryan Arcidiacono | 24 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kris Dunn | 22 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Coby White | 20 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Denzel Valentine | 4 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
* = starter