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2019-11-23

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 61.5% 38.5% -
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% -
Margin 30.9% 69.1% +4.4 (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% -
Efficiency 30.9% 69.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.6% 67.4% -
Log Adjusted 32.6% 67.4% -
Points Off/Def 34.0% 66.0% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +11 (115-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMarcus Aldridge * 35 8-12 0-0 1-1 6 2 0 1 17 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 32 12-23 0-0 5-5 7 2 1 0 29 - -
Bryn Forbes * 26 3-10 1-8 0-0 1 1 0 0 7 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 24 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 4 - -
Dejounte Murray * 23 3-8 0-2 3-5 2 4 4 0 9 - -
Rudy Gay 27 8-11 3-3 3-3 4 1 0 0 22 - -
Patty Mills 25 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 4 0 0 5 - -
Marco Belinelli 18 3-6 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 7 - -
DeMarre Carroll 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 1 2 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Keldon Johnson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Chimezie Metu 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Trey Lyles 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 34 10-16 3-5 3-4 6 4 1 2 26 - -
Al Horford * 34 8-14 0-3 2-2 9 6 0 0 18 - -
Furkan Korkmaz * 33 6-12 4-7 1-1 4 0 2 0 17 - -
Ben Simmons * 31 3-10 0-0 4-8 10 13 2 1 10 - -
Joel Embiid * 27 9-13 0-2 3-4 14 3 1 1 21 - -
Mike Scott 20 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Trey Burke 16 2-9 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 - -
James Ennis III 15 5-6 3-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 13 - -
Matisse Thybulle 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Shake Milton 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Kyle O'Quinn 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter