Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | +0.5 | ✓ (24.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +25 (128-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Andre Hunter * | 35 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry * | 34 | 9-13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 23 | - | |
| Trae Young * | 31 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Damian Jones * | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - | |
| Jabari Parker * | 20 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - | |
| Allen Crabbe | 22 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - | |
| Chandler Parsons | 16 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Alex Len | 15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - | |
| Evan Turner | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Tyrone Wallace | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Vince Carter | 9 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Brown * | 33 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - | |
| Blake Griffin * | 32 | 9-16 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 15 | - | |
| Luke Kennard * | 31 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - | |
| Andre Drummond * | 27 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 27 | - | |
| Langston Galloway * | 27 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 31 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Derrick Rose | 17 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 12 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Christian Wood | 12 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 20 | - | |
| Thon Maker | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - | |
| Tim Frazier | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter