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2019-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 46.8% 53.2% -
Bradley-Terry 46.2% 53.8% -
Margin 55.6% 44.4% -1.2 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% -
Efficiency 46.2% 53.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.2% 49.8% -
Log Adjusted 50.2% 49.8% -
Points Off/Def 44.4% 55.6% -

Actual: LA Clippers +3 (107-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 40 12-24 5-10 1-2 6 3 2 2 30 19 -
Marcus Smart * 40 7-20 1-11 0-0 3 8 2 0 15 8 -
Jaylen Brown * 39 3-14 1-8 2-4 6 1 1 0 9 3 -
Kemba Walker * 38 4-17 3-9 2-3 9 2 1 0 13 8 -
Daniel Theis * 31 4-8 0-1 0-0 14 6 3 0 8 23 -
Brad Wanamaker 27 4-8 2-4 4-4 3 5 1 0 14 15 -
Grant Williams 20 1-3 0-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 3 2 -
Enes Kanter 12 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 8 9 -
Robert Williams III 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 5 -
Semi Ojeleye 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Patrick Beverley * 40 5-11 4-7 0-0 16 7 3 2 14 31 -
Kawhi Leonard * 37 7-20 3-10 0-0 6 3 3 2 17 11 -
Paul George * 37 8-18 4-11 5-6 5 8 0 1 25 21 -
Maurice Harkless * 24 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 3 4 -
Ivica Zubac * 21 1-3 0-0 3-6 7 1 0 2 5 12 -
Lou Williams 36 10-21 3-9 4-4 2 2 2 0 27 12 -
Montrezl Harrell 31 3-8 0-0 0-0 6 3 2 2 6 11 -
JaMychal Green 17 4-5 2-2 0-0 8 0 0 0 10 13 -
Rodney McGruder 14 0-4 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Jerome Robinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Terance Mann 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter