Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +10 (105-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 37 | 8-16 | 4-8 | 7-10 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 34 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 34 | 8-22 | 2-9 | 7-9 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 31 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 16 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyson Chandler | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chris Clemons | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 35 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 33 | 4-16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 32 | 12-19 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 25 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 19 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 18 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 16 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter